Category Archives: Climatology

Thornton’s 2024 weather recap: A very warm year, precipitation comes in near average

Thornton, Colorado's 2024 annual temperature summary. (ThorntonWeather.com)
Thornton, Colorado’s 2024 annual temperature summary. (ThorntonWeather.com)

With the year in the rear-view mirror, we can now take a look back at Thornton’s weather for 2024. In doing so, we see that we recorded our warmest year of the past 18 years and while precipitation came in near average, most of that was seen early on.

The year started with a chill as January saw mercury readings a good bit below average for the month. However, it would end up being only one of two months during the year that didn’t see above average mercury readings.

From February through October, each month saw above average temperatures, some significantly warmer. November did, finally, see things cool down but then December came back to close out the year as the warmest December in 18 years.

Despite the warmth, we did enjoy above average precipitation for three out of the first four months of the year. Then, however, we began to see changes as seven of the next eight months all saw below average levels of precipitation.

We did have some notable weather events during the year.

In March, we saw a strong storm system produce heavy snowfall across much of the Denver metro area. Here in Thornton, we recorded a total of 10.8 inches between March 14th and 15th. Business and schools shut down and roads become quite difficult to travel. As usual, Denver’s official station way out at DIA lagged with only 5.7 inches. Click here to read the National Weather Service summary of the event.

Spring brings severe weather to the Front Range and Mother Nature delivered a doozy of a dose on May 30th. As the sun was setting, hail began to fall and grow in size, reaching from 1.5 inches to 2 1/4 inches in the north metro area including Thornton. Damage was extensive to vehicles and structures with cost estimates now expected to go over $1 billion. More from the NWS here.

As fall arrived, conditions were exceedingly dry and we waited for relief that usually comes in the form of snow. A prolonged period of it did finally arrive and from November 5th to November 9th, Thornton received 10.8 inches of the white stuff. To the south and southeast, the Palmer Divide and adjacent plains saw snowfall measuring in feet. The National Weather Service has more on this event here.

In the end Thornton saw an average annual temperature of 53.7 degrees. This is far above our 18-year running annual average of 50.8 degrees and made 2024 our warmest year during that period. Temperatures ranged from a high of 102.4 degrees on July 12th down to a low of -12.2 degrees on January 16th.

Out at Denver International Airport where the Mile High City’s official readings are taken, they recorded nearly the same. Denver’s official 2024 average came in at 53.9 degrees, well above the city’s 51.2 degrees annual average. This put 2024 in the books in a tie as the third warmest year on record in Denver.

Thornton saw precipitation levels near average with 14.56 inches being recorded during the year. This is in comparison to our 18-year running annual average of 15.27 inches. Four months had above average precipitation, eight were below.

In Denver, as measured at DIA, a precipitation total of 14.12 inches was recorded. This was close to but short of their long term annual average of 14.48 inches per year.

Click here to view Thornton’s 2024 climate report.

Thornton, Colorado's 2024 annual precipitation summary. (ThorntonWeather.com)
Thornton, Colorado’s 2024 annual precipitation summary. (ThorntonWeather.com)

December 2024 weather recap: Thornton sees its warmest, one of its driest Decembers of the past 18 years

Thornton, Colorado's December 2024 Temperature Summary. (ThorntonWeather.com)
Thornton, Colorado’s December 2024 Temperature Summary. (ThorntonWeather.com)

Warm and dry would the operative words as we look back on December 2024’s weather. Temperatures were stubbornly mild and precipitation of any kind was scarce.

The month started as most recent months with mild and dry conditions. The first eight days saw no precipitation and temperatures well above normal. On the 9th of the month, we finally saw a break with some light snow and a couple days of below normal mercury readings.

We then returned to the persistent pattern of above normal temperatures and dry conditions for the next two weeks. On Christmas night, it wasn’t snow that arrived but rather rain, as temperatures were just too warm for the white stuff.

Dry and mild conditions then returned until New Year’s Eve when a surprise, concentrated band of snow moved through in the evening. It brought some light snow and wreaked havoc on the roadways.

Thornton’s overall average temperature for December 2024 came in at 38.3 degrees. This was far above our 18-year running average for December of 30.9 degrees. It also was our warmest December over the same period, besting last year’s 37.1 degree average.

Temperatures ranged from a maximum of 67.4 degrees on the 20th down to a low of 17.3 degrees on the 10th.  Only three days over the month saw below average high temperatures.

Out at Denver International Airport where the Mile High City’s official records are kept, it was warm as well. Their average monthly temperature came in at 39.4 degrees, well above the long term Denver average for December of 31.2 degrees. That put the month into the books as the 9th warmest December ever recorded in Denver.

Precipitation was sparse during the month to say the least. Thornton recorded 0.20 inches, most of which was the result of rain versus snow melt. That is less than half of the 0.44 inch 18-year average for December in Thornton and our third driest December over that period.

Out at the airport, Denver saw a mere 0.04 inches of precipitation in December, all of it on the last day of the month. That was well below the city’s 0.35 December average. That put December 2024 into the Denver weather books as a tie with 2004 and 1890 for the 8th driest December on record.

Snowfall was scarce as well. Thornton recorded an even 2.0 inches, most of which fell on the 31st. This was far below our 18-year December average snowfall of 8.1 inches. It was our second least snowiest December of the past 18 years.

For Denver, as measured at DIA, the month yielded 1.4 inches of the white stuff, all of which fell on the evening of New Year’s Eve. That was far below the 8.0 inch average Denver has recorded since 1882. It also put December 2024 into a tie with last year as the 18th least snowiest December on record.

Click here to view Thornton’s complete December 2024 climate summary report.

Thornton, Colorado's December 2024 Precipitation Summary. (ThorntonWeather.com)
Thornton, Colorado’s December 2024 Precipitation Summary. (ThorntonWeather.com)

Thornton’s January 2025 preview: Cold temps, not much snow the norm

Thornton, Colorado's January Weather Preview.
Thornton, Colorado’s January Weather Preview.

As we begin the new year the winter chill begins to set in.  While January can see its share of extremes, the month historically sees stable temperatures and is usually relatively dry.

January ranks as the second coldest month in Denver next to December with average temperatures remaining virtually the same from the start to the end of the month.

In terms of snowfall, the month only ranks as the sixth snowiest and it is not uncommon for it to be quite dry.

What does January 2025 hold for us?  Follow the link to find out.

For the complete January preview including a look at historical averages and extremes, click here. 

Astronomical winter arrives Saturday, offers up the shortest day of the year

The Winter Solstice
Winter officially begins at 2:21am MST on Saturday, December 21, 2024.

Astronomical winter arrives in Thornton early Saturday morning and with the solstice also comes the shortest day of the year.

Winter officially begins at 2:21am MST on Saturday, December 21, 2024.

The Winter Solstice occurs when the North Pole is tilted at its furthest from the sun – 23.5 degrees away. This results in the shortest day of the year in the Northern Hemisphere.

Here in Denver, with sunrise at 7:17am and sunset at 4:39pm, our day Saturday will be 9 hours, 21 minutes and 15 seconds long.

The following day, Sunday, it will be about three seconds longer and each day from now through to the Summer Solstice in June will get gradually longer as well.

While we have a short day on the solstice, it is nothing like what will be experienced in the Arctic Circle.  Areas north of there to the North Pole will have no direct sunlight at all.  Conversely, areas south of the Antarctic Circle toward the South Pole will have 24 hours of daylight and have a midnight sun.

Did you know that there is a difference between the astronomical seasons that we are discussing here and meteorological seasons?

Meteorological seasons differ slightly and are geared toward matching the calendar with the annual temperature cycle. This is done primarily for meteorological observing and forecasting and in many ways it is more logical than the astronomical seasons.

For the Northern Hemisphere, the meteorological spring covers the months of March, April and May. Summer brings the hottest months of the year and so meteorological summer is June, July and August. Meteorological fall then is September, October and November followed by the coldest months of December, January and February as meteorological winter.

Denver’s Christmas weather history shows it isn’t usually a white one

Historical probability of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on Christmas. (NOAA)
Historical probability of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on Christmas. (NOAA)

As Christmas gets closer everyone always wonders if we are going to get the proverbial white Christmas. Unfortunately, if you look at Denver and Thornton weather history, the chances aren’t all that good but it also depends on what you define as a white Christmas.

If to you a white Christmas means having actual snowfall on Christmas Day the chances are pretty poor. But, if simply having snow on the ground suffices, the chances improve considerably.

For a complete look at Denver’s Christmas weather statistics, click here.

For the latest Thornton weather forecast for Christmas, check out our forecast page.

November 2024 weather recap: We finally chill out, get a healthy dose of precipitation

Thornton, Colorado's November 2024 Temperature Summary. (ThorntonWeather.com)
Thornton, Colorado’s November 2024 Temperature Summary. (ThorntonWeather.com)

After eight months straight of above average temperatures and six months straight of below average precipitation, we finally broke the streaks in November. Temperatures cooled a good bit and we received well above normal levels of precipitation.

The first five days of the month continued the mild weather but we did receive some rain during that time which was welcome.  After that, we saw a somewhat prolonged period of unsettled weather. Over a four-day period from the 6th to the 9th we received 10.8 inches of snowfall. This marked our first snowfall of the season, nearly three weeks later than normal.

From there, we again entered a relatively mild period with dry conditions that lasted 17 days. Finally, on the 27th, we received another nice shot of snow (3.4 inches). The weather then became calm and pleasant for the Thanksgiving weekend.

For the month of November 2024, Thornton’s average temperature came in at 37.9 degrees. This was a good bit cooler than our running 18-year average for November of 39.6 degrees. Temperatures ranged from a high of 68.7 degrees on the 23rd down to a low of 15.3 degrees on the morning of the 28th.

Out at Denver International Airport where Denver’s official measurements are taken, the Mile High City saw an average temperature for the month of 38.2 degrees. This was below their long term November average of 39.4 degrees.

In terms of precipitation, between rain and melted snow, Thornton recorded a very healthy 1.76 inches for the month. This was far above our running average for November of 0.54 inches. It was, in fact, the wettest November we have recorded in 18 years.

The Mile High City saw 1.98 inches in their bucket, mainly due to higher snowfall out at the airport. This was well above Denver’s long term November average of 0.64 inches and was the 5th wettest November ever recorded in Denver.

As previously mentioned, snowfall was quite abundant. Thornton recorded 14.2 inches, more than double our 18-year November average of 6.2 inches. This made November 2024 the third snowiest November in our books over that period.

Denver bested us on the snowfall front with a whopping 23.3 inches at the airport. This was far above their long-term November average of 7.3 inches. It also put November 2024 into Denver’s record books as the 4th snowiest November ever recorded.

Click here to view Thornton’s complete November 2024 climate summary report.

Thornton, Colorado's November 2024 Precipitation Summary. (ThorntonWeather.com)
Thornton, Colorado’s November 2024 Precipitation Summary. (ThorntonWeather.com)

Thornton’s December 2024 preview: Winter arrives, typically with cold and snow

Thornton, Colorado's December Weather Preview

Recent months have, overall, been mostly warmer and drier than normal.  Last month we finally got a break with cooler temps and a healthy dose of snow.  What will December hold for us?

The month of December brings with it the official start of winter and oftentimes, colder and snowier weather conditions. It, however, can also offer unseasonably warm temperatures and bone dry conditions.  Given our recent mild and dry weather, we are certainly hoping for a change in the coming month.

Overall December’s monthly mean temperature of 31.2 degrees (1991 – 2020 averages) makes it our coldest month.  Snow is always on everyone’s mind this time of year but December is only our 3rd snowiest month behind March and November with an average of 8.0 inches of the white stuff.

Get all the details on Thornton’s December weather including a look back at historical events and a look at the long range forecast in our December weather preview here.

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Weather and Election Day 2024: Will Mother Nature play a role in the outcome?

Weather and Elections - Does Mother Nature play a role in determining the outcome?
Weather and Elections – Does Mother Nature play a role in determining the outcome?

We oftentimes hear about how weather can affect voter turnout but is there truly a link?  If there is, who does it benefit – Republicans or Democrats?  Studies seem to indicate that what might be thought of as an urban myth is indeed true and could in fact play a role in 2024.

In 2005, political science researchers Brad Gomez, Thomas Hansford and George Krause completed the first comprehensive study on the correlation between weather and voter turnout.  Their paper, “The Republicans Should Pray for Rain:  Weather, Turnout, and Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections” confirmed the conventional wisdom that weather does affect voter turnout, bad weather benefits Republicans and most interestingly, two presidential elections in the last 60 years may have had different results had the weather been different.

Looking back at presidential elections from 1948 to 2008, the study takes into account the weather in 3,000 U.S. counties.  They in turn looked at key areas of the nation and how weather, good and bad, affected voter turnout.  In the end, the study determined that precipitation is the key weather condition to affect voter turnout.

Continue reading Weather and Election Day 2024: Will Mother Nature play a role in the outcome?

October 2024 weather recap: The warmest, second driest October of the past 18 years

Thornton, Colorado's October 2024 Temperature summary. (ThorntonWeather.com)
Thornton, Colorado’s October 2024 Temperature summary. (ThorntonWeather.com)

Mild and dry were the keywords for Thornton for October 2024. The month came in as the warmest and the second driest October of the past 18 years.

While the month lacked any sort of drama in the way of storms, it was most notable for the temperatures. We saw our last 90-degree day of the year on October 2nd and the first 16 days of the month saw 10 days with 80 degree or warmer readings. We didn’t see our first freezing temperature of the season until the 25th of the month, more than two weeks later than normal.

The latter half of the month did cool some but mercury readings remained above normal on most days. Overall, 27 of the 31 days of the month saw above average high temperatures.

Precipitation for the month was meager to say the least. It wasn’t until the 30th that we saw any and even then, it was a paltry 0.03 inches. No snow was recorded.

October 2024 Climate Location Comparison (© ThorntonWeather.com)
October 2024 Climate Location Comparison (© ThorntonWeather.com)

Thornton’s average temperature for the month came in at 56.1 degrees. That was far above the 50.0 degree 18-year running average for October in Thornton. It also goes into the books as our warmest October over that period, besting the 55.8 degree average of October 2016.

Temperatures ranged from a high of 90.3 degrees on the 2nd of the month down to a low of 29.2 degrees on the morning of the 31st.

The Mile High City, as officially measured at Denver International Airport, was even warmer. Their October average temperature came in at 59.1 degrees. That was far above Denver’s long term October average of 51.1 degrees. The month goes into the Denver weather record books as the second warmest on record with October 1950 holding on as the warmest (59.9 degrees).

Temperatures at the airport ranged from a high of 89 degrees on the 2nd to a low of 24 degrees on the 31st.

As noted above, precipitation was almost non-existent with only 0.03 inches recorded. This was far below the 0.92 inch running average Thornton has seen in October over the past 18 years. October 2024 goes into the books as the second driest October during that time, second only to October 2021 (0.02”).

Out at the airport, Denver saw 0.09 inches of precipitation, all coming on the 18th of the month. This was far short of the 0.99 inches the Mile High City averages in October. That makes October 2024 the 11th driest October ever recorded in Denver.

Over the past 18 years, Thornton has averaged 3.8 inches of snow in October. This year, none was recorded. That is not, however, all that unusual as seven other Octobers over the past 18 years saw no snow as well.

Similarly, out at DIA, Denver saw no snowfall for the month. This ties with 20 other Octobers since 1882 in Denver with no snow. On average, Denver records 4.1 inches during the month.

Click here to view Thornton’s complete October 2024 climate summary report.

Thornton, Colorado's October 2024 Precipitation Summary. (ThorntonWeather.com)
Thornton, Colorado’s October 2024 Precipitation Summary. (ThorntonWeather.com)

November 2024 preview: The transition to winter begins

 

November

The weather during the month of November in Denver metro area can offer just about anything.  While it is normally a quiet month, it can be prone to extremes.

November has historically been one of Denver’s snowiest months and major snowstorms are not entirely uncommon.  However conditions can also be quite dry.

Temperatures during the month continue to cool as we get closer to winter and by the end of the month the low temperatures routinely dip to 20 degrees or below.  At times it can in fact bring conditions more like what we see in January.

Get all the details on November’s weather and what we can expect in our complete preview here.