What are the chances the weather will kill you?

What are the odds that a weather event will be your undoing?  Image courtesy WeatherGeekStuff.com.
What are the odds that a weather event will be your undoing? Image courtesy WeatherGeekStuff.com.

In an interesting piece from the National Safety Council, they outline many of the unnatural ways you could die and what the chances are that they would actually happen. The good news is that weather most likely won’t kill you. The bad news is there are lots of other ways that you have a better chance of dying from. 

Over your lifetime, the NSC calculates you have a 1 in 22 chance (YIKES!) that you will die from something other than natural causes. Motor vehicle accidents are probably the most common way with a 1 in 84 chance you will die in a crash. Hmmm. I think I will walk home – at least then my chances jump to 1 in 267! 

As for the weather and other disasters…
  • Your chances of being struck by lightning and dying? 1 in 81,949. Pretty slim odds there. You are more likely to drown in your own bath tub (1 in 11,079). 
  • What about earthquakes, the one natural disaster that scares me more than any? 1 in 103,004 chance you will die in a temblor. That’s about the same as dying from overexertion (1 in 119,098). I guess maybe I am relatively safe from those after all, especially since I don’t live in California anymore!
  • What about the chances of dying in a major storm? Not looking too good there – a 1 in 4,361 chance you will die that way. Talk about Mother Nature’s wrath!  That’s about the same chance as you dying from choking on your dinner (1 in 4,411). 
  • Flooding can be a concern in some areas of the nation. You have a 1 in 317,595 chance of dying that way. You have a better chance of dying from electrocution from a live power source than that (1 in 36,297). 
  • All in all, the statistics say that you have a 1 in 1,749 chance of dying from some force of nature, about the same odds of dying from assault with a sharp weapon (1 in 1,817). 
I suppose those aren’t too bad of odds, especially when contrasted with every day dangers such as driving a car like we mentioned above. Other every day dangers that give you a good chance of taking a dirt nap? You have a 1 in 1,456 chance of dying in an uncontrolled building fire. Heading to the hospital? You have a 1 in 1,437 chance of dying from medical / surgical complications. That mean, neighbor dog? You have a 1 in 115,489 chance that it or another dog will kill you. 
 
In the end, weather probably shouldn’t worry you too much.  Do you have a weather or natural disaster fear?  Let us know!  Leave a comment below!
This article was also posted to the Denver Weather Examiner site. Get more local news and information on Examiner.com.  Denver Weather Examiner

Record setting cold continues for Thornton and Denver

Erin Mooty tries to stay warm as she waits for a bus Monday.  Image courtesy Darin McGregor, The Rocky.
Erin Mooty tries to stay warm as she waits for a bus Monday. Image courtesy Darin McGregor, The Rocky.

The cold continues to hang on and in the process Denver managed to set one record and tie another in the last 24 hours.  This is of course on top of the two records set before that.

Yesterday the mercury at Denver International Airport only climbed to 2 degrees.  This smashes the old record low maximum temperature for the date of 19 degrees set way back in 1914.  Following up on that, this morning DIA fell to an official low of 8 degrees below zero.  This ties the record low temperature for December 16th last set in 1897. 

Today we have good news and bad news.  The good news is that the snow we were expecting didn’t materialize on the Front Range thanks to downslope winds.  That at least saves adding to the misery of the cold.  The bad news though is that this cold is far from over.
 
Tuesday we will remain quite cold and only reach 18 degrees here in Denver.  The mountains will continue to get pounded by snow, particularly the southwestern areas where two to three feet could fall.  A number of advisories have been posted for the southwestern and central mountains so if you are heading to the hills, you may want check the conditions before you go. 

Wednesday, Thursday and Friday there is a chance we could see temperatures above freezing but it won’t be by much – maybe 33 or 34 degrees.  A chance of snow will remain in the forecast for the foreseeable future as well although there won’t be much if it does snow. 

Come the weekend though, the “heat wave” looks to come to an end as an upper level trough that is sitting over the Pacific coast right now moves into the area.  With it our chances of snow increase and the temperatures could drop to the low 20’s Saturday, Sunday and Monday. 

The best piece of advice?  Bundle up and stay inside if you can!  

Where’s this weather coming from?  The jet stream is currently pulling in moist air from the Pacific and sending it right over Colorado.  This in turn is pulling down cold air from the north.  The image below helps you see what is going on.

The jet stream is currently speeding over southern Colorado.

ThorntonWeather.com is awarded WXForum.net featured website award

ThorntonWeather.com is WXForum.net's Featured Weather Web Site.We are pleased to announce that ThorntonWeather.com has been chosen as WXForum.net’s Featured Weather Web Site for Summer 2008.  WXForum.net is an online community of weather enthusiasts with over 1,100 members.  Members discuss everything from weather conditions to forecasting to personal weather stations and more. 

ThorntonWeather.com is glad to be recognized by its peers for its website.  You can read more about the award and our weather station on the forum.  Click here to read it.

Dangerously cold temperatures set records in Denver

Dangerously cold temperatures and wind chills have invaded the Front Range.
Dangerously cold temperatures and wind chills have invaded the Front Range.

If you love the cold you must be in heaven this morning.  We are awakening to sub-zero temperatures that have now set records for two days in a row. 

Last night at 6:35pm the temperature at Denver International Airport reached a frigid -18 degrees.  This breaks the 107 year old record of -14 degrees for December 14th set way back in 1901. 

This morning the mercury dropped a bit further to -19 degrees at 2:31am.  That absolutely smashed the previous record low temperature for December 15th of -6 set in 1951.

Here in Thornton, ThorntonWeather.com also set records for low temperatures since we first went online in October 2006.  At 6:06am this morning the mercury was at a mere -14 degrees thus breaking our previous all-time cold temperature record of -13.3 degrees set on February 2, 2007.  At 4:08am we recorded a wind chill of -25.3, an all time record for us as well.  Certainly our record keeping hasn’t been going on as long as the official Denver ones but it is still pretty neat to see. 

At 7:00am, stations on the Rocky Mountain Weather Network were recording temperatures well into the negative teens.
At 7:00am, stations on the Rocky Mountain Weather Network were recording temperatures well into the negative teens.

As dawn approached, our temperature map from the Rocky Mountain Weather Network showed many stations across the Front Range reporting temps in the negative teens.  With daybreak, we won’t see much of a warm up either  as we will only reach a high of 16 degrees today.   Denver’s official record low maximum for this date set back in 1914 is 19 degrees so there is a pretty good chance that will be a third record set.  Tonight we are expecting a touch of snow, maybe an inch is about it.

When will the cold end?  Not for the foreseeable future unfortunately.  Long range forecasts going out to next Sunday do not show even one day with temperatures above freezing and there is a slight chance of snow almost every day.

This severe cold almost assures rough travel conditions as the sun isn’t helping to melt the lingering snow.  Please be safe out there and allow plenty of time to arrive at your destination.

Denver breaks 107 year old record

Denver officially broke the record for the coldest temperature recorded on this date.
Denver officially broke the record for the coldest temperature recorded on this date.

Updated 12/15/08 @ 3:30am:

It’s officially cold as heck now!  The cold front has caused the mercury to plummet across the Front Range and we have officially set two new low temperature records.

At 5:52pm on Sunday, December 14th, the temperature at Denver International Airport dropped to -15 degrees.  That broke the old record of -14 degrees for this date set way back in 1901.  The mercury continued to drop and bottomed out at -18 degrees at 6:35pm.

The morning of the 15th has started with a new record low temperature as well.  At 12:00am the temperature was -13 degrees, breaking the old record for the date of -6 set in 1951.  The temperature is still dropping so that record will undoubtedly get even colder. 

It is important to note that prior to DIA opening, temperatures were measured at the old Stapleton site and prior to 1950 they were measured downtown.   That makes a 15 mile distance between where temperatures are measured now and where they were prior to March 1995.  Those 15 miles can accont for large differences in temperature so the record setting temperatures needs to be balanced with that knowledge as in some ways you are comparing apples and oranges.  Click here for a bit of history on the Denver Forecast Office.

Original posting:

We can officially say it is cold now.  The National Weather Service has reported that at 5:52pm the temperature at Denver International Airport dropped to -15 degrees.  That breaks the old record of -14 degrees for this date set way back in 1901. 

Thankfully here in Thornton we haven’t gotten that cold.  At 7:00pm Sunday night it is currently -6.2 degrees.  We will get down to -11 tonight and then only climb to 18 Monday.  Bundle up!

It is important to note that prior to DIA opening, temperatures were measured at the old Stapleton site (and before that downtown).   That makes a 15 mile distance between where temperatures are measured now and where they were prior to 1994.  Those 15 miles can accont for large differences in temperature so you have to take these new records with a grain of salt.

The snow is ending but the arctic cold will remain

The Rocky Mountain Weather Network is showing temperatures barely above zero across Denver as of 10:00am Sunday morning.
The Rocky Mountain Weather Network is showing temperatures barely above zero across Denver as of 10:00am Sunday morning.

Last night and this morning the metro area received a nice little bit of snow, something which was desperately needed. The northern and western suburbs received more than the rest of the metro area. Areas like Thornton and Broomfield are reporting around 4 inches while Centennial and Parker are just a bit more than an inch. Officially, the National Weather Service reported 1.3 inches at the old Stapleton International Airport site.

The big story though isn’t the snow – it is the frigid cold that is accompanying it. Denver International Airport has reported temperatures as low as 3 degrees below zero and the wind chills are into the negative teens. Currently stations on the Rocky Mountain Weather Network are reporting low single digit temperatures across the Front Range.

Today most of the metro area will remain in the single digits with Denver reaching a high of around 9 degrees. Tonight will be equally frigid and drop to 2 below zero. There will be some minor warming during the work week but it won’t be much and it will be the latter half of the week before we see temperatures above freezing. A chance for snow will also remain each day and night with the best chance being Monday night into Tuesday morning.

120 mph jet stream is sitting over southern Colorado and bringing the cold air down from the north.
120 mph jet stream is sitting over southern Colorado and bringing the cold air down from the north.

This cold air is being drawn down by a rather powerful jet stream that has set in over the southern part of Colorado. Areas to our north in Wyoming, Montana and the Dakotas have it much worse than us – Spearfish, SD recorded -13 degrees with a -22 degree wind chill this morning!

With the severe cold and the snow, now might be good time to take a look at our Winter Weather Preparedness series:

Part 1 Winter travel safety
Part 2 Watches…warnings…and advisories
Part 3 High winds
Part 4 Wind chill temperatures and hypothermia
Part 5  Avalanche safety
Review  Winter Weather Preparedness Week review

December 14 – 20 – This week in Denver weather history

December 14 - 20 - This week in Denver weather history.
December 14 - 20 - This week in Denver weather history.

Our look back in Denver weather history for this week is punctuated by hurricane force winds – numerous times.  Some of these storms reached 120 mph, overturned semis, ripped roofs off and more.  Also notable is the blizzard we suffered through two years ago this week.

From the National Weather Service:

…THIS WEEK IN METRO DENVER WEATHER HISTORY…

2-17 

In 1939…more than 2 weeks of unseasonably warm weather made the month the 3rd warmest on record.  Seven daily temperature records were set…including the all time record high temperature for the month of 79 degrees on the 5th.  Daytime highs were balmy with 14 days in the 60’s and 70’s.  Low temperatures dipped to freezing or below on only 5 days.  The period was dry with only a trace of snow on the 12th.

3-15 

In 1972…a protracted cold spell held an icy grip on metro Denver when maximum temperatures never reached above freezing for 10 consecutive days from the 3rd through the 12th and minimum temperatures dipped below zero on eleven consecutive days from the 5th through the 15th. Daily low temperature records were set with 15 degrees below zero on the 5th…17 degrees below zero on the 6th… And 18 degrees below zero on the 10th.  Daily record low maximum readings were set with 3 degrees on the 6th and 6 degrees on the 9th.  The very cold temperatures were caused by 3 to 5 inches of snow cover and a Canadian air mass.

Continue reading December 14 – 20 – This week in Denver weather history

Weather gifts for the weather geek in your life

ThorntonWeather.com has some great ideas for Santa Claus for the weather enthusiasts he may be bringing gifts to.
ThorntonWeather.com has some great ideas for Santa Claus for the weather enthusiasts he may be bringing gifts to.

Is there someone on your shopping list that looks out at a blizzard with glee on his or her face?  Someone who jumps and runs to the window at hearing thunder or seeing the flash of lightning?  Maybe a person for whom the weather warning beep on the TV or radio is music to their ears?  Well then this posting is for you.  Here are some great gift ideas for the weather geek on your list.  If you have any questions about any of these, leave a comment and we will answer them.  Also be sure to check out our list of great places to shop for weather gifts.

Books – There are books about every type of weather condition out there.  We recently wrote about some of our top picks for weather related books for grownups and adults.  Click here for some specific ideas

  • Cost:  $10.00 and up
  • Where to buy:  Amazon.com

Storm Chasing and Weather Clothing – Any proud weather geek will be happy to not only tell someone about their hobby but also to wear it!  Shirts and clothing with tornadoes, hurricanes or even ones that proclaim the wearer as a “Weather Geek” or “Weather Diva” are a big hit.  Kids love the stuff too.

Weather Radios – You don’t have to be a weather enthusiast to appreciate or need a weather radio – these are great gifts for anyone.  These radios are relatively inexpensive and allow you to listen to and monitor the NOAA Weather Radio All Hazards (NWR) system. NWR broadcasts official Weather Service warnings, watches, and forecasts as well as other hazard information like earthquakes, avalanches, chemical spills, and even AMBER alerts.  Be sure to get one with SAME coding so it automatically turns on when something is happening in your area.

Emergency Kits – Most folks interested in severe weather are also quite likely a bit survivalist by nature.  They know the dangers that the weather presents and want to be prepared for it.  An emergency kit for the house or car are not only practical but potentially life saving. 

GPS Systems – Handheld GPS systems like those from Garmin and Magellan are a must have for any storm chaser.  Models can be had for less than $100 for a basic unit to $600 for ones with 3D mapping capability.  Spend the extra money to get one with at least basic, non-3D mapping capability. 

  • Cost:  $100 and up.  Look to spend between $200 and $300 to get a good one with mapping. 
  • Where to buy:  NewEgg or GPS City

Binoculars – Low tech but effective.  You don’t want to get too close to the action and binoculars are a great way to see things from a distance.  You’ll want to look for ones that allow plenty of light in but also aren’t so big the user can’t make a run for it if needed.

Personal Weather Stations (PWS) – Amateur meteorology is a surprisingly popular hobby as you will learn if you take a look.  A basic $50 station will provide outdoor temperature and humidity.  Stepping up a notch to one for around $200 will get you all that plus wind and the ability to hook it up to a computer to archive statistics and create your own weather website like ThorntonWeather.com.  $450+ gets a Davis Instruments weather station which is considered about the best an amateur can buy.

Digital Cameras and Camcorders – Pictures and video help to capture the weather conditions as they happen and make for lasting memories.  With either of them, ones with powerful zoom lenses are a must in order to capture far away action (you don’t want to get too close to a tornado!).  Don’t skimp on quality.

  • Cost:  $400+ for a good one.
  • Where to buy:  NewEgg or Amazon

Storm Chasing Vacation – For a weather geek, what could be better than spending a week on the Great Plains hunting down hail storms, supercell thunderstorms and of course tornadoes!  Storm chasing as a hobby is growing by leaps and bounds and there are many tour operators that seek to fulfill the dreams of those that want to see extreme weather. This is the ultimate gift!  Are you listening to me, Santa?

For more info: Do you have any questions about specific items your weather enthusiast might want or questions about any of the above ideas?  Post a comment and we’ll do our best to answer!

Snowstorm departs and a rough rush hour ensues

The view from ThorntonWeather.com's east facing webcam at 8:40am.
The view from ThorntonWeather.com's east facing webcam at 8:40am.

The snow began tapering off pretty early this morning but not until after it left 4 to 8 inches of the white stuff across much of the metro area.  ThorntonWeather.com recorded 4.4 inches but that probably was a bit more – it was just tough to measure as the wind and blown it all over the place.  We had some spots with an inch and others with a foot.  Thornton seemed to do a good job clearing the major streets but of course residential and side streets were pretty slick. 

Today we’ll warm up to just above freezing at 33 degrees and Wednesday is looking very nice reaching near 50 degrees.  Thursday there is a slight chance of snow but we are really keeping our eye on the period between Saturday and Monday as there is greater potential there for more snow.  Stay tuned.

In the meantime, here are some of the storm reports from across the region:

07:00 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: TRAINED SPOTTER
BOULDER COUNTY, CO   –  1 MILE NORTHWEST OF NIWOT
SNOW  MEASURED AT 3.9 INCH    
 
07:00 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: TRAINED SPOTTER
GILPIN COUNTY, CO   –  3 MILES NORTH OF BLACK HAWK
HEAVY SNOW  MEASURED AT 6.2 INCH    
 
06:48 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: TRAINED SPOTTER
JEFFERSON COUNTY, CO   –   GENESEE
HEAVY SNOW  MEASURED AT 12.0 INCH    
 
06:30 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: TRAINED SPOTTER
DOUGLAS COUNTY, CO   –  2 MILES WEST OF PARKER
HEAVY SNOW  MEASURED AT 7.0 INCH    
 
06:20 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: TRAINED SPOTTER
JEFFERSON COUNTY, CO   –  1 MILE SOUTHWEST OF EVERGREEN
HEAVY SNOW  MEASURED AT 6.0 INCH    
 
06:15 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: TRAINED SPOTTER
PARK COUNTY, CO   –  3 MILES NORTH OF BAILEY
SNOW  MEASURED AT 2.5 INCH   TOP OF CROW HILL
 
06:09 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: TRAINED SPOTTER
DOUGLAS COUNTY, CO   –   ESE CASTLE PINES
SNOW  MEASURED AT 5.0 INCH    
 
06:00 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: TRAINED SPOTTER
BOULDER COUNTY, CO   –  2 MILES WEST OF BOULDER
HEAVY SNOW  MEASURED AT 9.1 INCH    
 
05:52 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: TRAINED SPOTTER
CLEAR CREEK COUNTY, CO   –  6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF EVERGREEN
HEAVY SNOW  MEASURED AT 10.0 INCH    
 
05:50 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: TRAINED SPOTTER
DOUGLAS COUNTY, CO   –  4 MILES EAST OF PARKER
SNOW  MEASURED AT 5.8 INCH    
 
05:38 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: TRAINED SPOTTER
ADAMS COUNTY, CO   –   6 MILES NORTHEAST OF THORNTON
SNOW  MEASURED AT 4.8 INCH    
 
05:30 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: TRAINED SPOTTER
DENVER COUNTY, CO   –  DENVER
SNOW  MEASURED AT 5.6 INCH    
 
05:22 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: TRAINED SPOTTER
ARAPAHOE COUNTY, CO   –  12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AURORA
HEAVY SNOW  MEASURED AT 6.2 INCH    
 
05:15 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: TRAINED SPOTTER
ADAMS COUNTY, CO   –   4 MILES NORTHEAST OF THORNTON
SNOW  MEASURED AT 4.4 INCH    
 
04:30 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: AMATEUR RADIO
BOULDER COUNTY, CO   –   LOUISVILLE
HEAVY SNOW  MEASURED AT 8.7 INCH    
 
04:20 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: NWS EMPLOYEE
BOULDER COUNTY, CO   –  1 MILE WEST OF BOULDER
HEAVY SNOW  MEASURED AT 8.0 INCH   NWS OFFICE
 
03:15 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: NWS EMPLOYEE
WELD COUNTY, CO   –  1 MILE SOUTHEAST OF FREDERICK
SNOW  MEASURED AT 3.8 INCH    
 
03:00 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: CO-OP OBSERVER
LARIMER COUNTY, CO   –  4 MILES EAST OF FORT COLLINS
SNOW  MEASURED AT 0.8 INCH    
 
01:30 AM   12/09/2008    REPORTED BY: TRAINED SPOTTER
PARK COUNTY, CO   –   N FAIRPLAY
SNOW  MEASURED AT 3.0 INCH    

December 7 – 13 – This week in Denver weather history

December 7 - 13 - This week in Denver weather history.
December 7 - 13 - This week in Denver weather history.

Big wind, big snow, a heat wave and Arctic cold all highlight our look back at this week in Denver weather history.

From the National Weather Service:

2-17

IN 1939…MORE THAN 2 WEEKS OF UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER MADE THE MONTH THE 3RD WARMEST ON RECORD.  SEVEN DAILY TEMPERATURE RECORDS WERE SET…INCLUDING THE ALL TIME RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR THE MONTH OF 79 DEGREES ON THE 5TH.  DAYTIME HIGHS WERE BALMY WITH 14 DAYS IN THE 60`S AND 70`S.  LOW TEMPERATURES DIPPED TO FREEZING OR BELOW ON ONLY 5 DAYS.  THE PERIOD WAS DRY WITH ONLY A TRACE OF SNOW ON THE 12TH.

3-15

IN 1972…A PROTRACTED COLD SPELL HELD AN ICY GRIP ON METRO DENVER WHEN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES NEVER REACHED ABOVE FREEZING FOR 10 CONSECUTIVE DAYS FROM THE 3RD THROUGH THE 12TH AND MINIMUM TEMPERATURES DIPPED BELOW ZERO ON ELEVEN CONSECUTIVE DAYS FROM THE 5TH THROUGH THE 15TH. DAILY LOW TEMPERATURE RECORDS WERE SET WITH 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO ON THE 5TH…17 DEGREES BELOW ZERO ON THE 6TH… AND 18 DEGREES BELOW ZERO ON THE 10TH.  DAILY RECORD LOW MAXIMUM READINGS WERE SET WITH 3 DEGREES ON THE 6TH AND 6 DEGREES ON THE 9TH.  THE VERY COLD TEMPERATURES WERE CAUSED BY 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW COVER AND A CANADIAN AIR MASS.

5-7

IN 1978…A MAJOR STORM DUMPED HEAVY SNOW ACROSS METRO DENVER. AT STAPLETON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT…SNOWFALL TOTALED 8.5 INCHES…NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTED TO 46 MPH…AND TEMPERATURES PLUNGED FROM A HIGH OF 49 DEGREES ON THE 5TH TO A LOW OF ONLY 6 DEGREES ON THE 6TH.  MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF 6 DEGREES ON THE 7TH WAS A NEW DAILY RECORD LOW MAXIMUM READING.  MOST OF THE SNOW…6.7 INCHES…FELL ON THE 5TH.

Continue reading December 7 – 13 – This week in Denver weather history

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