Storm Prediction Center Fire Weather Outlook - thorntonweather.com

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Updated: Sun, 16-May-2021 3:40pm MDT

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Day 1 fire weather outlook and map Day 2 fire weather outlook and map
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1054 AM CDT Sun May 16 2021 Valid 161700Z - 171200Z No changes. Previous discussion follows. ..Bentley.. 05/16/2021 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0123 AM CDT Sun May 16 2021/ ...Synopsis... A closed upper-level low embedded in a mid-level trough over portions of California/Nevada will slowly shift east throughout the day, sliding into portions of the lower Great Basin by the end of the period. As this occurs, a broad region of marginally enhanced southwesterly mid-level flow will overspread much of the Southwest into the southern High Plains throughout the day. At the surface, warm/dry conditions are expected to persist. ...Southwest into West Texas... Diurnal heating/mixing processes will allow some of the marginally enhanced mid-level flow to mix toward the surface, resulting in sustained southwesterly winds of 10-15 mph. Meanwhile, RH values should fall into the teens and single digits. Fuels across the region remain at least marginally receptive to large-fire spread. Thus elevated fire-weather conditions can be expected, with perhaps some localized critical fire-weather conditions possible where winds manage to be a bit stronger. ...Northern ND into northwest MN... A surface low will track through south central portions of Canada throughout the day, with southwesterly post-frontal surface flow extending into northern portions of North Dakota into far northwest Minnesota. RH values should fall into the teens to lower 20s, with sustained winds of 10-15 mph. Locally elevated conditions can be expected across this region, but such conditions appear too localized to warrant any highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
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